United Blogging Emirates

Now What?

2009-10-02T23:55:00.002+04:00

The post-September period is regarded as the “conference season” in the Emirates. Basically, everything happens now, as the stifling heat (and humidity) of summer passes and autumn/winter comes along. For once in a long time, it seems, Abu Dhabi will overtake Dubai in prominence and attention as Grand Prix Abu Dhabi approaches at the end of the month. You can feel Abu Dhabi bubbling already, the media is racketing up and the world will soon descend for one weekend of festivities (race day is on my birthday!!). I hate to be the party pooper, but now is not the time for appeasement and self-congratulation as the ghost of Fitzgerald’s Great Gatsby may be upon us. The New York Times sounds what I have been warning for more than two years now: Among Iran’s Persian Gulf neighbors there is growing resignation that Iran cannot be stopped from developing nuclear arms, though Iran says its nuclear program is for peaceful uses. Some analysts have predicted that a regional arms race will begin and that vulnerable states, like Bahrain, may be encouraged to invite nuclear powers to place weapons on their territories as a deterrent. The United States already has a Navy base in Manama, Bahrain’s capital.
Sacrifices will have to be made. The Kuwaitis, who know what crazy autocracies in this region can do, seem prepared to go any distance:

Mohammed al-Shatti, a member of Kuwait's delegation to OPEC, said in a report in Wednesday's Alrai newspaper that while sanctions could affect the oil market, "the existence of more than 5 million barrels of daily OPEC spare capacity would lessen the negative effects on prices in case of any stoppage of oil supplies from Iran."

Somebody should send Dubai the memo. (Of course Kuwait is not entirely selfless, Sultan Al Qassemi, has an excellent piece on the relations between Arab governments and post-Saddam Iraq – or the lack thereof. Every Arab Foreign Minister should read it and remember that the new Iraq - the only land bulwark against Iran for Arabs – should be taken seriously. So far the Kuwaitis have refused to cancel the debt Iraq. At the very least, petty squabbles should be kept to a minimum).

Saudi-Emirati Trade Wars

2009-09-28T22:26:00.004+04:00

It is obvious that the Saudis and Emiratis are not feeling each other at this moment in time. First it was the GCC Central Bank episode (see HERE & HERE). Then, UAE freight was choked. Then, all UAE residents felt the effects. Now, ‘poor’ Saudi Arabia won’t pay its debts despite the UAE’s 'ire.' Which is a shame really; the Iranians have just tested their missiles and have proven to everyone that they have the capability to strike every single Emirate in the UAE federation (and every GCC nation for that matter). It will only be a matter of time before these long range missiles will be nuclear tipped. UPDATE: Dr Abdullah Al Shayji, a professor of International Relations and the head of the American Studies Unit at Kuwait University senses the loomong crises and pleads, as I do, for the GCC to get its act together.

Dubai 2020? The Next Decade Calls for Something Big...

2009-06-29T20:15:00.010+04:00

This is HUGE, moving the UAE to a level that no person and/or skyscraper can do. The world's eyeballs will be forced to recognize the UAE and the potential for change to the Arab world/Middle East will be ground-breaking. The Olympics/World Expo will give the UAE, local and expat alike, a purpose. It will give the next decade a purpose and it will pull the UAE (especially Dubai) out of its recent troubles while keeping it moving forward. Every school, office, government entity, every building in the UAE will be a giant billboard for the 2020 Olympics. 2021 will mark the 50th anniversary of the United Arab Emirates' founding. I cannot think of anything better to celebrate that momentous Golden Jubilee.

Massacre

2009-06-21T23:47:00.000+04:00

The death toll from Iranian protestors as of 10pm UAE time is at least 17. Let this be a reminder to all as to what the psychotic regime in Tehran is capable of doing. The preservation of the “Islamic” regime means it will kill its own people, let alone nearby countries with legitimate territorial claims.

Farce

2009-06-21T23:43:00.001+04:00

That’s all you can say. Staying on the subject, Mishaal Al Gergawi hits on the nail on the head. Socialized medicine does not work, public hospitals are bureaucracies:

In the public hospital we waited for a doctor to see us. They told us it was the weekend and only doctors under training were visiting at 7:30am daily; they in turn would report to the doctor - without his presence. When asked to see the heart specialist, the nurses said other doctors were available and there was no need for a specialist at this stage. We asked them to get someone to diagnose her condition and they said "it's just old age". Does that mean there is no medication? Where is the doctor who made this analysis? … Finally we took my grandmother home - against medical advice. We found a private doctor and a live-in nurse.

No wonder, the 2 D’Souza kids didn’t receive proper care: they were transferred from New Medical Center (private) to Dubai Hospital (public). Note: Someone should send the memo to Obama.

Dubai and “Tehr-Angles”

2009-06-20T20:19:00.004+04:00

Because of the high number of Persians in the LA area, many in call it Tehr-Angels. I, and many others from around the world, really believe that the instantaneous nature of communication these days has Iranians in Iran comparing their situation to the (generally successful) Persians in LA and hence this massive uprising of anger we are seeing. There is another city that is home to a high number of Iranian expats who are also generally successful: Dubai. And I do believe too that Iranians in Iran are comparing their situation to the Iranians here in the UAE. Here is the video of Iranians protesting in Dubai: See the Link here if the above player doesn't load. I have no idea why the Dubai police are trying to rein-in the protestors, the government should be encouraging them. The demise of the Mullah-ocracy in Iran will benefit the UAE and the region, and the whole world really. The UAE’s message to Persians across the world should be: we are with you 100%

Victimhood Journalism

2009-06-17T23:31:00.005+04:00

The Gulf News specializes in victimhood, not journalism. Rather than doing justice to the parents of the deceased, what do they do? They follow them to Church and report on their tragic plight as if they are circus freaks. Rather than allowing them to mourn in peace, they publish pictures (and video) of the distraught to sell newspapers. Justice for the parents of the children who died of food poisoning means finding out what caused it, and not submitting to the almighty authorities who will (not) take care of it. Why did the children die instantly? What suppliers/wholesalers/dealers of food are responsible? The narrative that food in the summer spoils quickly due to heat and improper refrigeration is not enough – I don’t recall any food poisoning in summers past. Sorry, I don’t buy it. I still think the contaminated sheep is a credible lead, and I won’t stop questioning until proven otherwise. (I might be 110% wrong, but it should still be followed up) My thoughts and prayers are with the parents of the deceased RIP.

Trouble in National-Land

2009-06-17T21:59:00.003+04:00

This story almost slipped me; the sneaky folks at the National have been keeping it on the down low. On their own newspaper they call it a “promotion.” But if Adam Schreck’s source is to be believed, there is some trouble over at ADM:

A person at Abu Dhabi Media who has worked with Newland said the leadership change has "been in the cards for a long time" and was not a reflection of unhappiness with the editor's "incredibly hands-on" work. But the person, who was granted anonymity in order to speak freely about the change, said economic pressures as a result of the global downturn and political tensions stemming from the paper's government-owned status took their toll.

We have yet to see any distribution or subscription numbers from the National since they launched. But if anybody wants to sell papers, then get a hold of their budget and publish it. “Economic pressures” translates as: the National is in the red, big time. Add to that a boss who is "incredibly hands-on" and you got a corporate mutiny by the journalist/bureaucrats that Newland himself hired. Ouch.

Food Poison-Gate and Other Assorted Health Scares

2009-06-16T21:42:00.004+04:00

Gulf News attempts to take the credit for informing the nation that they (and only they) have taken the lead in informing the nation of the poison in our food. What they failed to note is that, in the meantime, 3 innocent children (two of them this week) have died. They are just reporting death, not causes. I posted less than a month ago about contaminated livestock originating through a UAE-based company and being raised in Vietnam to be re-imported back to the UAE for consumption. I made the point that the media was nowhere to be seen or heard. (Unfortunately the content on the link to the site has disappeared). But I do stand corrected on the media silence, because on the same day I linked to story, the National’s Loveday Morris reported the same incident. NOTE: It was impossible for me to find since it was published the same day (belated kudos to the National – Ms. Loveday Morris specifically) From what I heard on the radio to work, the latest case of food poisoning occurred after the children were fed “mixed stir-fried rice” at a take-out Chinese restaurant in Dubai. I’m not saying for sure that the Chinese restaurant had imported from the Vietnamese supply-farm, but it is possible, or rather, not impossible. A real journalist would be wise to do some investigating, for the well-being of us all. … Meanwhile, the number of swine flu cases in the Gulf has reached 34. The consequences could be catastrophic; the fist few lines says it all:

Swine flu cases in Arab states in the Gulf, a high-traffic transit zone for millions of air travelers, rose to 34 on Tuesday after Qatar reported its first cases, two of them young boys.

Hate to be gloomy and alarmist, but people in the transit hub that is the UAE have the right to know.

The New Silk Road?

2009-06-16T18:42:00.004+04:00

Ben Simpfendorfer has a recently released book titled “The New Silk Road.” The subtitle reads: "How a Rising Arab World is Turning Away from the West and Rediscovering China". Forbes.com has posted an excerpt on their website:

The Arab world was always rich. But it has recently leapt into the ranks of the super rich and its status as a player in the world's financial markets had grown. What happened? Three events had converged to change dramatically the fortunes of the Arab world. First, a surge in oil prices. Second, the rise of China. And third, a decision by Western households to embark on a historic, and largely debt-fuelled, consumption binge. … America's financial crisis might yet act as a partial circuit breaker. American households, burdened by their large debts and forced to save more of their monthly income, will struggle to purchase as many consumer goods from China. However, it's a change that will play out over years, rather than months. Moreover, American consumers aren't likely to stop shopping altogether, so Arab investors will continue to play an important, if reduced, role in financing an American trade deficit. Alternatively, investors may find the American government increasingly in need of funds, as was the American consumer during the past decade. After all, bailing out the country's financial sector isn't going to be cheap. The result? The Arab world will remain an important creditor to the American economy for the foreseeable future.

That is true especially in the Obama age of deficits, deficits, deficits. President Obama’s first budget as US President has America going between $1 to $10 Trillion in debt (the estimates vary). If the West insists on going socialist, then yes China and India will overtake the west. If, on the other hand, the west wakes up (yes you Europe and leftist/high tax America) then Simpfendorfer’s thesis will be dead. A road has a Point A and a Point B. The original Silk Road connected east and west, with the Middle East and Central Asia at the center. Any Silk Road in today’s day in age will have the same characteristics. It cannot be all one way traffic. The west and the east and everywhere in between will have to be involved or it is not much of a road - but more like a Cul-De-Sac.

Is It Just Me?

2009-06-16T17:55:00.002+04:00

Dubai property rents and prices might be dropping, but in Abu Dhabi the prices of properties have yet to show any downward shift. We have become tenants of tenements as more and more people are getting squeezed into this relatively small island. But have no fear; Zaya Properties have come to the rescue:

UAE-based real estate developer Zaya plans to deliver its Dh3-billion island project Nurai, comprising 31 high-end beachfront estates and 36 water villas on schedule in December 2010, its chief executive officer said on Sunday. … The properties already sold by Zaya on Nurai are priced between Dh55 million and Dh65million … Nurai, located four kilometers from Saadiyat Island off Abu Dhabi, can either be reached by boat or helicopter.

Great news, all we have to do is fork out an easy 55 million AED (plus a boat or a helicopter) and we’re set. In countless companies in Abu Dhabi, the best entry level and mid career talent from across the globe are getting increasingly difficult to hire. What kind of company can attract young people and pay them enough to get their own accommodation? Individuals with less than lucrative salaries have one option: sharing - sharing with co-workers on bunk-beds, two families sharing one small apartment, families renting rooms to bachelors, etc… There is no other option. Which is why this “Nurai” project is so absurd; who can fork out between 55 million to 100 million AED for a home? Why are they building less than 70 homes? Maybe it’s just me…

Protests Grow and Grow...

2009-06-15T20:01:00.003+04:00

Useless?

2009-06-13T20:19:00.003+04:00

It was a no-brainer that the Mullahs in Iran would ensure that Ahmadinejad would win the election. What we’ll have to deal with in Iran for four more years (at least) is the ascendancy of radicals hell-bent on the acquisition of nuclear weapons with intent to use it (for leverage and/or Armageddon). It will mean that the US Congress will have to get to ratifying the UAE nuclear agreement ASAP. NOTE: Useless is not the term, the events in Iran this past week are not useless, for they have confirmed to the world that the vast majority of the Iranian people despise the Mullahs in charge. As of June 15th the protests continue...

The Folly of Government Intrusion...and the Return to Good Old Fashioned Family Values

2009-06-07T19:19:00.007+04:00

I have been reading a lot about UAE economics recently and find a re-curring theme among the many, many (and growing) UAE-based business-news websites. While the effects of the economic crisis have been digested (and suffered) we look at how a city like Dubai can make a comeback, and we find that going back to basics is the solution. Basics means a halt to massive intrusions by the government at the detriment of business and individuals and a return to a time when living and visiting the UAE was affordable (for 5 member families, let alone bachelors and bachelorettes). On ArabianBusiness.com's new blog, two posts have been dedicated to reversing this folly. Rob Corder writes:

In the past few years, we have seen ministries trying to engineer prices of groceries in supermarkets, home and office rents, and now school fees. For a capitalist government - and it is passionately free market at heart - these price controls appear out of character. Meddling with prices is done with the best intentions, but conflicting interests always lead to the wrong solution emerging.

Be sure to read the whole thing. Corder shows how bureaucratic intervention in two key areas, housing/office rent and school tuition, can have a detrimental effect on real sustainable growth. The other post is from Mazhar Mohad, entitled "the Middle Class Tourists for Dubai"

...since the advent of this millennium, with rising rents and increasing inflation, it seems this has all just been a myth now for the incoming new visitors with expensive products and hardly any options. It is such a shame, even the shopping festivals have gotten boring and expensive. Let us draw what should happen in reality to save the long term economics in Dubai tourism.

He goes on to list what an affordable Dubai for tourists would look like including:

The government service fees are also charged at an affordable rates and simplified minimalist procedures to keep costs down. Country builds an amazing transportation infrastructure with various transport modes, trains, buses with several parallel roads and freeways. Visit visas are also reversed to previous attractive rates.

Once again, read it in its entirety. The National's blog also picked up on the idea, albeit indirectly, through a guest post by Chris Dommett, the chief executive of the mortgage advisory John Charcol in Dubai:

A more stable market and a sounder legal infrastructure should give them the opportunity when the dust clears to innovate on their products, meaning greater choice for the consumer, and a closer match between the products and the real needs of the borrowers. In the meantime however, what the market needs is the greater availability of basic mortgages to allow people living and working in Dubai to own their own home at an affordable rate. This gives them a longer term stake in the future of the city, with their property regarded primarily as a home rather than as a means to get rich quick.

Consumer choice, affordable rates, innovation, long term future,, etc... the same terms are used over and over again. An affordable UAE is the buzz word, and this will move the over-all economy towards a brighter more stable future (with less governemtn and more consumer choice). It will also stabilize the future of the tens of thousands of people who can no longer afford the UAE dream, as housing rents remain unrealistically high, school tuition continues its steep upward movement, Dubai is no longer a viable tourist destination, and home ownership for potential long-term residents are unviable. Something the higher-ups in the Dubai government have finally began to understand. ... Another recurring theme is the "once upon a time in the UAE you could - but in the last decade..." Before the 21st century, when the UAE was really booming, you could enjoy all the goods and services on offer today for a fraction of the price, with better quality and superior service. Traffic was low and parking abundant. The Dubai Shopping Festival was the most anticipated tourist event of the year on this side of Jerusalem. It was based on good old fashioned family values, and subsequently attracted families. What has Dubai attracted recently? A who's who of sinister characters from Chechan gangsters, murdered Arab pop-stars, gay bars, sex on the beach, to Roberto Cavalli nightclubs, pimps, financial fraudsters, Baathists from Saddam's former regime, etc, etc... No wonder families no longer want to come. Worse still, even if they wanted to, they couldn't because on top of all the shady types, it is not economically feasible. The only demographic that the UAE seems to attract is a younger (single) crowd. Great! Except these youth are usually alone and are sold the lifestyle choice of an Al Capone or a Paris Hilton (on credit cards). Out went the large family villas in Jumeraih (whom I thought would continue to be built westwards) and in came the 1BR/studio apartments that has become Dubai Marina. Young people have become the only demographic than can realistically live in Dubai - and the marketers know that and so the marketers target that group. (Blog Sheikh thanks Rosh the UAEian for the heads up on the UAECB post). UAE 2010 and beyond starts now...

Want UAE Citizenhsip?

2009-06-06T18:07:00.005+04:00

Forget long-term residency visas, Mishaal Al Gergawi is calling for citizenship to be granted to all long-time time and committed residents of the UAE. His justifications:

A friend of mine lost one of his newborn children when his wife went into premature labour. He buried his son in the UAE, but had to renew his annual visa three months later. He tells me this and I think to myself, we'll take their dead but not the living? This must be the result of a typo in the fine print, right? No, this is the status quo. I am writing this article in sweat pants and a white T-shirt that bears the image of Shaikh Zayed Bin Sultan Al Nahyan, the late ruler and founder of the UAE. The T-shirt was created by Munabu Ozawa, a 36-year-old Japanese graphic designer who has been living in Dubai for six years now.

Mr. Al Gergawi doesn't specify the "C" word, but a week later he pens another article where he clarifies:

As a modern federal union, the UAE proudly hosts many people from different parts of the world. Many of these people have started families here and, more importantly, their children have developed strong ties to the UAE - ties so strong that they feel more at home in Dubai, Abu Dhabi and Sharjah than they do in Beirut, Tehran or New Delhi. What frustrates many of these Dubaians, Abu Dhabians or Sharjahians is that their identity is sometimes included in the same category as what we call 'recent expats'. And so they have started wondering about the value of their existence here and the measure of their belonging to their respective cities. This and the examples of other countries (such as the UK, the US and Canada) has led to calls for citizenship. Here is my take on this. As an Emirati, I support naturalising any person who has spent a considerable amount of time in the UAE (five, 10, 15 years - someone qualified must set the right number) in which they have shown two qualities: first, the ability to contribute positively to the growth and development of the UAE; second, and more importantly, they must have shown love and respect for Emirati culture and embraced this culture in their daily life.

There are numerous examples of people who would be eligible for UAE citizenship if the rule was open for anybody who has lived in the UAE for 15, 20, even 25 years (just read the comments). Rosh coined the term "UAEians" rather than Emiratis. Mr. Al Gergawi is absolutely right, the demographics and realities of the UAE have changed so much since its founding, that the rules might need to (rather than should) change. Demographics are destiny, and the Emirati population will disappear under current trends. But granting UAE citizenship is unrealistic. In a country where every local must carry a "family book," radical changes will be required: First, only a select few will be eligible, A) Religion: will a Hindu or a Syrian Druze be forced to convert to Islam, or will all creeds be given the right to hold citizenship? Al Gergawi refers to culture, he really means Islam. Second, only educated people will be eligible. Maybe the Japanese graphic designer, or the Moroccan accountant, but I doubt the construction worker or the garbage man who has slaved for 15 years of his life picking up our trash or tendering our gardens will be eligible, and that is not fair. Third, the pensions and benefits (and socialist hand-outs generally) provided to Emiratis cannot be sustained for a large number of people. If citizenship is a conferred right to all who pass the integration test, than the UAE's experiment in socialism and big (too big) government will have to end. Fourth, immigration and integration. If the UAE where to begin granting citizenship today then there will be a huge spike in the number of people coming in to the UAE for that sole purpose tomorrow. Nothing wrong with letting people in, but large numbers of immigrants entering will be impossible to integrate (see USA and Hispanics or Europe and Muslims) Judging by the last decade, the UAE has utterly failed in integrating even recent expats. (don't take my word for it, look at this piece from Maryam Al Hamly - it's really that bad). I can go on and on,but I'll leave it there. I'm not against the idea, but I don't think we are there yet. A more realistic aim to introduce a sort of "halfway" citizenship akin to the American Green Card and like America, the number of years required to live in UAE must be long (like 20-30 years) with a strong emphasis on the "melting pot" and unlike Europe or Canada where citizenship is granted in 2-3 years and "salad-bowl" multi-culturalism have ensured zero integration and the appearance of ethnic enclaves. It is not impossible but it is unrealistic. In the future, who knows?

More Nuke Debate

2009-06-03T15:20:00.002+04:00

The debate over the UAE’s nuclear deal is not over yet. True, the Bush Administration ratified the agreement and the Obama Administration has confirmed the deal. Yet, it will now need the ratification of the US legislature (i.e. Congress). That both the Bush and Obama Administrations approved the deal is in itself a coup for the UAE. Nobody can argue that this was a partisan plan hitched by the - fill in the blanks - Republican or Democratic Party. Congress has less than 3 month now to deliberate and vote on the resolution. In the meantime, the UAE will have to ensure that they keep their hands clean and not jeopardize hard-fought international trust that has taken decades to cultivate. Until the resolution is passed by Congress, the UAE will also have to be kept abreast of all the debates swirling in international, regional, and domestic press. The debate is simple (not easy): its either yea or nay. The Christian Science Monitor had a piece highlighting the concerns:

"The US does not have a strategy to deal with this very real issue of proliferation, all they have is a sale," says Joseph Cirincione, president of the Ploughshares Fund, an organization that promotes a nuclear-weapons-free world. "We shouldn't be sprinkling the Middle East with nuclear power reactors until we figure out how to stop them from turning out nuclear bombs." … "What got these countries scrambling for nuclear technology was the summer of 2006, the war in Lebanon and Iran's support for Hizbullah in that conflict. It was not a sudden spike in viewings over there of "An Inconvenient Truth," says Cirincione, referring to Al Gore's video on global warming.

Joseph Cirincone, quoted most extensively in the piece above, has taken the lead in the anti-UAE Nuke Deal cause. I will say two things: a) according to Cirincone himself, he hasn’t been to the UAE yet and; b) of course this is about weapons and if anyone thought otherwise I’m sorry. Once the Iranians test their first bomb (cf. North Korea), all the treaties signed by the UAE will be torn up and the US will implore the UAE and others in the region to develop weapons (cf. the Japanese constitution). Of course, the treaties won't be torn-up and no weapons will be produced until the Iranian do so; it’s all in their (Iran’s) hands. The leader in fighting the UAE’s cause for ratification (to my knowledge) is Emile Hokayem of the National. His piece “Why the UAE Deserves Nuclear Power” should be read. Mr. Hokayem’s arguments will give all pro-UAE advocates arsenal for their debates against critics. If you are a high school student who has to represent the UAE in a “Model UN-type” gathering, you should read it (although you are probably on summer vacation now!!). It should be forwarded to members of the US Congress too (who are no better than high school students sometimes). If the deal is ratified, the implications are enormous for the Middle East and the World. But it is not ratified yet and anything can happen.

Les Emirats Arabes Unis

2009-06-01T21:43:00.002+04:00

That is, United Arab Emirates, for those whose french is a little rusty.

2nd Year Anniversary!

2009-05-27T19:36:00.000+04:00

Thanks to all the readers out there in blog-land. Please continue coming to the site. I understand that my posting has been inconsistent but this is not my primary job, I do this when I have time. Stability is the key, and I haven’t had stability for the past 6 month. I graduated from university in August and got back to the UAE in September. I’m just now getting used to the routine of living in the UAE again. Anyway, the best is yet to come, I only need to figure out my future (that’s all…lol) Just don’t doubt the blogs. Read them and even start one. Best wishes to all the readers out there. Blog Sheikh

Hallelujah

2009-05-26T21:15:00.003+04:00

Both The National and ArabianBusiness.com have started blogs. In the case of the National, they have started no less than four blogs, although they are all aggregated on one main blog site (the 4 blogs are called Beep Beep, Crane Country, In the Black, and The Current Account). No less appealing is the ArabianBusiness.com Blog which is maintained by no less than 14 of its journalists. It was high time that both publications began blogs; I have been an advocate of blogs for all newspapers, and all organizations, institutions, and individuals for that matter, for a long time now. It doesn’t take a genius to figure out that this is the future of journalism. Blogging not only communicates information faster (24/7 really), but it also democratizes the story making process by eliminating editorial bias and scrutiny. The fourth estate is no longer a propaganda tool, but allows the reader to fully absorb where the writer is coming from and whether he/she is honest in their assessment. The newspaper industry is the most obvious beneficiary of blogging and in North America the newspapers are reeling from their ingrained inertia and lack of technological savvy. Howard Kurtz wrote in The Washington Post:

I have been one of the industry's most fervent optimists, convinced that somehow, some way, newspapers would find a path to survival. But the last few weeks have shaken my belief, suggesting that what I find indispensable -- a daily compendium delivered to your doorstep -- may be left behind by history and public indifference.

Although I disagree with his introduction about “the moment” the American news business went on suicide watch, Frank Rich’s NY Times Op-Ed should be read too.

More on the GCC Central Bank Fallout

2009-05-25T21:42:00.010+04:00

The Saudi press has begun churning out the propaganda in earnest. Jameel Theyabi, writing for Dar Al Hayat (in very bad English, probably because it is a translation of the Arabic original) asks: If Sheikh Zayed Al-Nahyan – God rest his soul in peace – were still alive, would he withdraw from this Gulf economic and financial important alliance? Or would he stay an important and key pillar, despite some reservations?
And he answers himself in absolutes:

Sheikh Zayed was the godfather of unity and union. From the capital of his country, he announced the establishment of the Gulf Cooperation Council in the middle of the 1981.

Yes, Sheikh Zayed was the originator of the GCC in 1981 and he did so after Bahrain and Qatar both refused admission to the UAE idea and after Oman and Saudi Arabia refused to negotiate definite international borders with the upstart Union during its formative years (being equally guilty as Iran for illegally claiming Abu Musa and the Tunb islands). But the GCC was a security precaution against the populous nations of Iran and Iraq, who had just fought the first year of an 8 year war for “mastery” of the Gulf. Only 9 years later the GCC was crucial in turning global public opinion, just at the end of the Cold War, from Moscow to Washington and everywhere in between against Saddamist megalomania. Today, Saddam’s megalomania has been replaced by a far more dangerous, religiously motivated, megalomania in the Islamic Republic of Iran (one of the original 2 nations that prompted the GCC’s formation). The GCC ministers had better devote their time winning alliances against that impending threat, rather than wasting their time designing the colors and pictures on paper money. See here for or my initial analysis. FYI: Dar Al Hayat is part of the Al Hayat umbrella and is owned by Khalid bin Sultan bin Abdulaziz, a Saudi prince. According to Wikipedia it’s “pro-Saudi with respect to articles concerning the Arabian Peninsula.”

Thoughts on the GCC Economic Union

2009-05-20T21:52:00.010+04:00

Good Riddance...it's over. This was an idealistic project that was being fantasized when oil was at $150/barrel and Gulf Sheikhs had so much (too much) money they were willing to throw their entire economic sovereignty to follow an EU fad. Monetary union is the most over-rated piece of economic policy ever drawn-up. Students of American history will recall that the US never had a unified bank note currency until 1861-62 - and that never stopped them from becoming an economic superpower. Of course the UAE has reservations about placing the "GCC Central Bank" in Saudi. The fact of the matter is, unifying a Gulf currency and placing all the monetary policy decision making apparatus in the Saudi capital means Saudi domination. The Saudi economy is like Godzilla, it will swallow everything around it. Just imagine...25% of the world’s oil. Saudi domination of the entire Arabian Peninsula is nothing new; People wonder why the freehold property law only came into existence in 2003-04. The answer is that was the year Sheikh Zayed became incapacitated and eventually went to his reward in November of that year. We should heed the example set by Sheikh Zayed (RIP), who never allowed freehold property ownership in the UAE because he feared the Saudis will just buy Dubai, or Ajman, or Bahrain. Go to Sharjah and ask yourself why its largest street is named after Saudi royalty? Why is Shariah law still upheld so strongly in Sharjah (i.e. no alcohol a la Saudi Arabia)? The answer is Saudi money and Saudi leverage was required against an up and coming, and relatively unknown, Abu Dhabi in the 1960s and 70s. I am not advocating protectionism, we are at the point of no return on property and I think the pros of opening up freehold ownership have outweighed the cons (yes, even despite the economic crisis). 35 + years of Emirati federalism has proved itself strong enough to support the general Union and the uncertainty attached to the UAE has diminished (although in the 1970s everybody was predicting Tribal Civil War on the Trucial Coast and the amusing up-start UAE) "Bail-outs" of Dubai by Abu Dhabi is legitimate even desirable. Had Abu Dhabi not bailed Dubai out, the Saudis would have - and not through Dubai banks, or Dubai institutions, or through the Al Maktoums - but by Prince (fill in the blanks) Al Saud buying the Burj Al Arab, or the Palm, or Emirates Airlines. But monetary union would have ensured that such a scenario would happen - not 1950, 1966, or 1971 - but 2010. When Dubai, or a Northern Emirates is in need of liquidity they would have to lobby the GCC Central Bank - and by extension the seat of power of the Saudi throne - in Riyadh. With a militarily dangerous Iran with nuclear capability on one side, and an economically colossal Saudi Arabia with veto power on monetary policy on the other, the UAE was quite right to have "reservations" and to pull out. Update: Even stocks weren't affected. I predict they'll rise once this excellent news is digested by the UAE corporate community.

The Nuclear Debate

2009-05-19T21:43:00.005+04:00

As decision time looms for the Obama Administration and the US Congress on the subject of Emarati nuclear power, a back and forth (and back) debate of sorts has been brewing in the US media and especially on the very influential magazine: Foreign Policy. First, we'll take the arguments against. I support the Nuke deal solely on its potential as deterrence to Iran. Others proponents argue that is cleaner than any oil/gas/coal we presently use. But you can never win an argument without studying your opponents view: Joseph Cirincione is the president of the Ploughshares Fund and the author of Bomb Scare: The History and Future of Nuclear Weapons. He argues: that the pending civilian nuclear cooperation deal between the U.S. and United Arab Emirates was "Half-baked and hasty at best, foolhardy and dangerous at worst" and would likely contribute to a nuclear arms race in the Middle East.
Joe De Thomas takes the opposite (pro-deal) view and refutes Cirincione's arguments. His conclusion: If we can show that countries that do things the right way get the benefit of an efficient, safe, secure nuclear power program while countries like Iran end up with clunky hybrid reactors that were obsolete before they ever generated a kilowatt, we might finally get somewhere.
Both should be read in their entirety.

Not A Prophet, or the Son of a Prophet...

2009-05-19T20:14:00.002+04:00

but I know ineffective diplomacy when I see it: Israel and key Arab allies have voiced concerns about the usefulness of diplomacy with Iran. The U.S. point man on Iran policy, Dennis Ross, was greeted with skepticism from Arab allies during a tour this month through Egypt and the Persian Gulf countries, said U.S. officials. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates., in particular, have expressed alarm over Iran's nuclear activities and its moves to support militant groups operating in Lebanon, Iraq and the Palestinian territories.
As I mentioned on April 29th: All we'll get is two-minute press conference and a photo's in tomorrow's papers with Mr. Ross shaking hands with a Saudi/Emarati leader.

More Tales From the EU

2009-05-19T19:43:00.004+04:00

I am not anti-EU, anti-European, or anti-Western. Quite the contrary, I love the West. I studied there, and hope to go back to further my credentials and qualifications in the future (someday). Call me crazy but the land of Plato, Shakespeare, Rousseau, Van Gogh, Beethoven, Da Vinci, and Picasso appeal to me. I only post these stories about the EU because of the damage it may cause to global stability (and Abu Dhabi investments). The PC fanatics in Europe have ensured a multicultural "utopia" that has only led to unassimilated minorities and islamization - Europe is becoming Muslim. It's economic " high tax/distributive/socialism" agenda has failed. And its pacifism has led to the inevitable acquisition of nuclear weapons by the Iranian theocracy (3 hours from Berlin). The Telegraph has the details of the disaster facing Europe and has a stark warning too: On a day of dismal news for the European economy, official figures also showed that Italy, Austria, Spain and the Netherlands are facing their biggest combined slump in post-war history, sparking warnings about the potential for social unrest throughout Europe. Look who's footing the bill...(subscription required, but the title and the first 2 lines explain it all)

Yukes!

2009-05-19T19:28:00.004+04:00

How many of these have been used for domestic consumption and where is the media?

Zayed...

2009-05-13T22:17:00.004+04:00

the First, who ruled Abu Dhabi from 1855 to 1909, is being honoured this month at the Jahili Fort in Al Ain. His rule spanned 54 years, even his grandson Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan (the Second), ruled Abu Dhabi for "only" 37 years (1966-2003). Zayed the First was responsible for securing the territory that is today the Emirate of Abu Dhabi, cementing the Bani Yas' claim to the territory and making it what it is today. Zayed II brought Abu Dhabi to the 21st century; Zayed I brought Abu Dhabi to the 20th.

EU Not Looking Good

2009-05-11T14:50:00.003+04:00

In Germnay, France, the UK, the UK again, Ireland, Italy, Spain, Greece, etc... Most Europeans will immigrate to the USA, Canada, New Zealand, and Australia. But with the new visa laws in place, it is only normal that some will end up here in the UAE. Don't bet against it.

'Nough Said

2009-05-11T14:26:00.002+04:00

Mr. Al Shayji is absoulutley right: If a US-Iran deal comes through, it will most likely be at our expense. If we do not wake up and get our act together, we will be in for a rude awakening. Then we will have only ourselves to blame.

Mosses, Bloggers, and the Collapse of the Cradle of Western Civilization

2009-05-09T16:37:00.003+04:00

People have been predicting an exodus of people from the UAE, in the same way the Bible explains the exodus of Mosses and the Hebrews from Pharaoh. Apparently, we’ve been led to believe, the Nile (or the Dubai Creek) will turn to blood. And that’s just the speculation within the UAE. In the UK, the British press has been having a field day bashing Dubai and the UAE. I link here to a story published in The Independent but re-published in the Ethiopian Review of all places! (Just to show the influence one story published in a local English paper can have a global impact in today’s internet age). The story is a long essay of grievances. Its author, Johann Hari, must have had a lot on his chest to let off, because he goes on and on and on… The best part: How does it feel if this is your country, filled with foreigners? Unlike the expats and the slave class, I can’t just approach the native Emiratis to ask questions when I see them wandering around - the men in cool white robes, the women in sweltering black. If you try, the women blank you, and the men look affronted, and tell you brusquely that Dubai is “fine”. So I browse through the Emirati blog-scene and found some typical-sounding young Emiratis. We meet - where else? - in the mall. Credit is offered where credit is due; the author goes to the right place for info: bloggers. But he hurts his credibility when he calls them things like “Dunkin’ Doughnuts Dissidents.” Although the story is long, you should read it. Mr. Meher Murshed responds to Mr. Hari’s rant in the Gulf News and I’ll leave it to him to counter rather than me. What I will say about Mr. Hari’s piece is this: it is interesting only because the locals the author seeks out are writers and bloggers (all the other controversies mentioned aren’t new). There seems to be a growing chorus of, usually young, Emiratis who are using the might of the pen to respond to the attacks launched against their country, and that can’t be a bad thing. What I will say about the supposed “exodus” is I don’t see it happening. If anything I see a lot more Europeans coming to Dubai in the years ahead. Any passive observer will realize that Europe is doomed, at least economically: See EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Joaquin Almunia’s warning: "The European economy is in the midst of its deepest and most widespread recession in the post-war era." -re: we all know what happened to Europe the last time there was economic problems: Hitler came to power. for Andrew Lloyd Webber and Britain he: “Really fears an exodus of talent.” The European “utopia” of government socialism is leading Europe to the oblivion. The high taxes, the unassimilated minorities, and a military budget of zero means Europe is going down. Expect many Europeans to come to Dubai for better oppertunities.... Mr. Lloyd Webber is right.

No Other Alternative

2009-05-04T21:08:00.002+04:00

The foreign policy priorities of Arab states and Israel have changed 360-degrees since Iran's pursuit of nuclear weapons. From Amir Taheri: Make no mistake: The Middle East may be on the verge of a nuclear arms race triggered by the inability of the West to stop Iran's quest for a bomb. Since Tehran's nuclear ambitions hit the headlines five years ago, 25 countries -- 10 of them in the greater Middle East -- have announced plans to build nuclear power plants for the first time. The Arab states cannot fight for the rights of Palestinians and at the same time fight to protect all the nations within Iran's sphere of expansionist influence. Now, the Arab states must play their last trump card: Indeed, the threat is now a common concern between Arab states and Israel, and therefore changed the way they view each other. Despite Israel’s recent invasion of Gaza, Arab states have kept the Saudi-sponsored Arab Peace Initiative alive. Which, in other words, may mean a full alliance between most Arab states and Israel. There really doesn't seem to be any other alternative. Btw...Amir Taheri has a new book on Iran and the looming crisis which I am looking forward to reading. Gulf News readers will be aware of Mr. Taheri's regular columns.

Rue the Expats

2009-05-04T20:19:00.004+04:00

Expats have been given a hard time recently. Many have been blamed for moving to the UAE solely for money others for being inconsiderate of the culture. I have been guilty of being harsh too. The fact of the matter is expats from hundreds of different countries make up the backbone of the modern UAE, and the country needs, and wants, them. Despite the rhetoric, 99.9% of expats are law abiding citizens that want to live in peace and prosperity for their own good and for the good of their families. Not only is the exodus of expats sad to see on an emotional level, it also has wide-ranging effects on the economy. As Robin Wigglesworth notes: economists say the population of the UAE — one of the most lopsided and expatriate-driven economies in the world — could decline over the next two years. This in turn could pummel consumer spending, cause a rise in delinquent personal loans, hamper recovery and imperil the country’s ambitious long-term growth plans, which are predicated on rosy population growth forecasts, economists say. Which is true, and will only hasten a domino effect and will affect the availability of goods and services that we take for granted. Analysts agree that the loss of white- collar expatriates will hurt consumer spending, which made up about 44 per cent of the UAE’s gross domestic product in 2007. Many expatriates have a lot of dependants, so the loss of one job can have a wide effect, says Saud Masud, a UBS analyst: “School attendances will be affected, gyms will have fewer customers, and the footfall at malls will drop.” The debate revolves around granting expats longer grace periods before forcing them to leave. However, the recent phenomenon that has the Emirati population ringing the alarm at its perceived "loss of identity" makes this a tough nut to crack. The other concern is crime, as the unemployed tend to do whatever is necessary to eat. Read the whole thing.

The World/UAE vs The Islamic Republic

2009-05-04T09:50:00.003+04:00

The Iranians remind the "p"GCC that they will not give up there claims to the 3 islands easily, despite EU backing for the UAE's claims. HERE HERE and HERE

Gates' Turn

2009-05-04T09:31:00.003+04:00

Now Defense Secretary Gates will come to the region: Building diplomacy with Iran "will not be at the expense of our long-term relationships with Saudi Arabia and the other Gulf states that have been our partners and friends for decades," Gates told reporters aboard a military jet headed to Cairo. Lets hope so... (see below too)

Dennis Ross to the Rescue

2009-04-29T11:53:00.002+04:00

So Mr. Ross is visiting the GCC to "assure" us that the Obama Administration's 360-degree reversal of engaging the murderous Mullahs in Tehran will work and we have nothing to fear. What will he say? All we'll get is two-minute press conference and a photo's in tomorrow's papers with Mr. Ross shaking hands with a Saudi/Emarati leader. "The Gulf states need to be told from the highest levels in Washington that there won't be a grand bargain cut behind their back," said a senior Arab diplomat engaged on the Iran issue. Back hand deals are what I fear. Don't take my word for it, see the Eurasia Group's report , which lumps the UAE along with the likes of Pakistan as one of the nations with the potential for "growing political uncertainty:" The implications are global: "This situation has tremendous implications for U.S. foreign policy, which must be radically readjusted," the report says. Finally, to make you even more scarred, we in the UAE deserve a pat on the back for being: - The third biggest (importer of weapons) in the world, after China and India, SIPRI said in a report on global arms transfers. So there you have it: China, India (with a billion people plus each) and then the tiny sheikhdom on the corner of the Middle East, with 4 million people coming in at third (all of this doesn’t include the Nukes of course). We'll be listening to Mr. Ross' statements very closely.

The Gulf News Blog!

2009-04-22T10:37:00.003+04:00

Well Done Gulf News! Gulf News videographer Ashraf Helmi and photographer Megan Hirons have travelled to Gaza to document the situation on the ground following the attacks by Israel. They will be filing blog entries, photos, videos and stories. Bookmark this page and refresh for regular updates of their thoughts and experiences. Judging by the number of comments the blog (and blogging generally) will attract readers. Not only readers from the UAE but all over the world. The blog allows the journalist to write, photograph and even post videos. Yet still more needs to be done. Gulf News' blog should have its own page, every journalist and editor, and photographer should have access to post on any subject under the sun. Furthermore, readers should not continually refresh for regular updates, updates should occur automatically. In reality, Gulf News needs an entirely new web lay-out that is more reader friendly - one where its new blog is promoted and given priority. See one of my previous posts too.

Silly Obama Administration

2009-04-22T10:24:00.004+04:00

The closing of Guantanamo is already showing its negative affects: The emergence of a former Guantánamo Bay detainee as the deputy leader of Al Qaeda’s Yemeni branch has underscored the potential complications in carrying out the executive order President Obama signed Thursday that the detention center be shut down within a year. The militant, Said Ali al-Shihri, is suspected of involvement in a deadly bombing of the United States Embassy in Yemen’s capital, Sana, in September. He was released to Saudi Arabia in 2007 and passed through a Saudi rehabilitation program for former jihadists before resurfacing with Al Qaeda in Yemen. The AP (via Gulf News) also picks up the story. How many of these former terrorists, i mean most wanted terrorists, have had effective "rehab" and how many want to go on killing innocents? More scary, how many will sneak themselves into the UAE and attack our target-rich assets/populations?

UAE Legal Issues vs. Saudi Legal Issues

2009-04-22T10:19:00.002+04:00

Stark Differences. For example: this vs. this

FNC Fights Back

2009-04-22T10:05:00.002+04:00

Via Gulf News: Dr Anwar Mohammad Gargash, Minister of State for FNC Affairs and Minister of State for Foreign Affairs, told the House that the Cabinet demanded that discussion of the crisis be postponed until after the Government completes measures to cope with it. The House rejected the move and said there should be a good reason for refusing or delaying discussion of an extremely important public issue. Sultan Saqr Al Suwaidi, FNC member from Dubai, said, "The financial crisis is a vital issue that affects everybody in the country. If the House is denied the right to discuss such an important issue, what issue will the legislature be allowed to discuss? "The House was denied the right to discuss the national identity and now the Cabinet demands that discussion of the financial crunch be delayed. Until when should we delay the discussion of this extremely vital issue. Is it until the crisis is over? We at the FNC have to enjoy full freedom to discuss these national issues," Al Suwaidi said.

e-Sheikh

2009-04-21T22:24:00.006+04:00

H.H. Sheikh Mohammed Bin Rashid Al Maktoum gives a wide range interview - entirely online. Although the majority of the questioners came from the established newspapers in the region, don’t expect that to last. If His Highness is serious, as he stated, that these sorts of interviews will be repeated more often, then don’t expect the newspapers to monopolize the questions for long. Instead, watch out for everyday people to penetrate more and ask questions directly. Mediums like blogs and other social networking media are the beneficiaries. Sheikh Mo's responses did not make news, the form of the interview was the real breaking news. Muhammed Ayish has an excellent opinion piece in The National about the influence of blogs on the youth of the region. Unfortunately the National has no intention of starting one, although the fact that they published this piece means that the powers that be (i.e. the editors who choose what news is and what isn’t) are fully aware of the blogging phenomenon. Key Graphs: There is a a huge potential in the web to accommodate the aspirations of the younger generation, especially when many mainstream media institutions, constrained by state censorship or commercial imperatives, seem to be failing in this respect. As part of a research project on young bloggers in the region, I have observed a wide range of genuine postings that foster a sense of belief in the limitless power of the web to echo youth concerns. I have come across blogs that support community networking, assert cultural and national identity, reinforce human values and promote critical and rational perspectives on society. I was particularly struck by the diversity and richness of content in Ali’s blog, which he publishes using special software for the blind. In one of his postings, Ali writes: “Direct communication and unfettered expression are the two prime advantages of new media when compared to conventional media that remain inhibited by red tape and censorship. These are the two important features needed by any person to take his cause directly to the people.” Which is similar to what Sheikh Mohammed said in his opening statement: Today the usage of the Internet across the UAE has come to be taken for granted; in fact, the Web has been adopted so extensively in both the public and private sectors that e-communications are the norm rather than the exception. We see that a large segment of our society, especially young people, believe that the Internet is the most important source of information, education and entertainment. The UAE continues to lead the Arab world in adoption of information and communication technology according to the annual global information technology report released before yesterday. Little wonder, then, that I get inundated with questions from citizens and media alike. That’s why I have chosen to meet with you via my Web site...

Ooopppsss...

2009-04-20T22:16:00.001+04:00

A tourist is being deported from Dubai after police arrested him strolling naked outside a city centre shopping mall in 100 degree heat. (there is a disturbing photo when you click the link...don't say I didn't warn you!!)

The President Goes to Dubai...

2009-04-15T19:27:00.009+04:00

There's an unwritten custom for Abu Dhabians, when we're bored and need a change, we to go to Dubai and check out the malls. I guess H.H. Sheikh Khalifa is no exception. In all seriousness though, the visit comes at a crucial time. Nobody ever doubted the strength of the Union, but these are testing times. The confidence boosting visit by the President to Dubai is a nice big index finger on the lips for all the haters out there. (the negative press Dubai was getting was overwhelming, see below) I'm very curious to know who from the AD royal family came up with the idea, 'twas a smart move. I like this pic too, a new generation of UAE leaders standing at the spot where the Union was forged not that long ago by their fathers. (Photo: WAM) Pssst...It took the entire editorial team over at Gulf News to tell you what I just told you above.

Shady People

2009-04-14T21:46:00.004+04:00

How many exist? Stories like this are just incredible. Throw a Dubai Co. marketing scheme proclaiming “jet-set/playboy/Dubai lifestyle;" mix with a cultural hodgepodge of shapes and colors with zero cohesion; and remember to leave out the democracy. What do you get? People like these – disgusting manifestations of greed, lust, pride, and even gluttony. Best Quote: Some UAE newspapers have been active in reporting corruption cases. But the freedom to cover the cases could be curtailed by a proposed media law which would penalize the press for publishing "misleading news that could harm the national economy" in the Emirates. "I would seriously advise them against it (passing the law) ... It won't achieve the aim of impeding negative reporting... You will have blogs," said economist Eckart Woertz of Dubai-based Gulf Research Centre of the research centre. Perhaps, Sheikh Mohammed should have a “most dishonest award”, rather than business achievement awards. It is not only financial/white-collar crime, but also political motivated crime. The Chechen civil war/KGB mischief, in the parking-lot of the Jumeraih Beach Residence has been making the rounds in the UAE, and Arab, and global media, so much for “Dubai the family get-away destination.” There used to be a time when Dubai would attract families, mostly from other Gulf countries. Dubai has been re-branded: from “family get-away destination” to “Scarface/jet-set/playboy/sleaze-fest destination." PS: Nobody is immune, nobody.

Boo Hoo

2009-04-04T23:07:00.003+04:00

From the Seattle Times: A few months ago, America Harris was marketing real estate with the promise that Dubai would continue to prosper. ... But last month, she and dozens of her colleagues lost their jobs. This city of skyscrapers and man-made island resorts had become the latest victim of the global financial crisis. ... Her husband still has a job as a private equity investor, so they plan to stay for now. But they've cut back on one staple among the Western expatriate crowd: Friday morning Champagne brunches at five-star hotels that typically run more than $100 per person. Sniff, sniff. "Dubai in the fall was such a vibrant city," Harris said. "Now, it's almost like a shell of its former self. All the shops are empty. The restaurants are empty." Thankfully her husband still has a job as a private equity "investor." Poor over-paid expats, they might have to buy eggs from the supermarket and fry them (on the weekend - away from work!!) God forbid! The North Lauderdale, Fla., native would show prospective clients articles from the local English-language newspaper that claimed Dubai was still a good investment even as most of the world's real-estate markets were faltering. Yes, tough job, highlighting dead-tree UAE newspapers. Way to succeed in the 21st century information revolution (no wonder her company went broke and she lost her job). What do people want? Champagne brunches, easy work, Friday (and Saturday) off, zero-taxes, vibrancy, world-class infrastructure, money, bikini-clad beaches, working in the English language (in an Arab country), free-flowing alcohol... Note: All that good stuff is still there and can be enjoyed by most if they really want (and can do). Now if you'll excuse me I'm going to have some Cornflakes for my (late afternoon/early evening/snooze breaking) "brunch".

Obama's Middle East Strategy Memo Pt. II

2009-03-30T22:25:00.002+04:00

A summary by Brian Katulis (mentioned here yesterday) of the importance of the Gulf to Obama's Middle East strategy can be found here and should be read in its entirety. The plans by the UAE government to divert oil flows to the Indian Ocean port of Fujariah (rather than through the Hormuz) should be an indication of the stakes involved and the level caution the UAE government, and other GCC governments are taking to protect themselves and their assets from the looming threat posed by the Mullahs in Iran.

Obama's Middle East Strategy Memo

2009-03-29T22:21:00.011+04:00

The strategy options for the Obama Administration in the crucial Middle East/South Asia region are not radically different from the Bush Administration's policies: strong ties between the US and the Persian Gulf remains crucial. Brian Katulis has been in on a fact-finding trip to the UAE this past month. He has posted 4 blog posts on his findings at foreignpolicy.com: 1) What we (America) can learn from the Emirates? Key Quote (s): But beneath the surface view of the glitz and glamour of the economic talk lurk some of the most complicated security and economic challenges in the world. By virtue of geography and the country's unique role as a financial, trade, and economic powerhouse and go-between, the UAE finds itself at the center of three top-tier national security concerns for the new Obama administration These 3 "top national security concerns" are: Iran, Pakistan/Afghanistan and the Global Economic Meltdown. 2) A Small Arab Gulf Country Arms Up. Key Quote (s) In our discussions on this trip, a common talking point we’ve heard is that the UAE is now the single largest export market for U.S. goods in the Arab world. Although a large part of these imports of US goods are military equipment No doubt, the increase in military sales in large part is motivated by regional threat perceptions about Iran. 3) The Middle East Goes Nuclear. My assessment: If the Iranians insist on having nuclear weapons and insist that their nuclear plant will be placed in Bushehr, on the GCC's doorstep, then the only response is to “nuclearize” every country in the Middle East and ensure the M.A.D doctrine (Mutually Assured Destruction) is implemented. 4) Where is the Muslim World on Afghanistan? Key Quote (s) Emirati forces are the only Arab troops on the ground with a full combat mission in Afghanistan - at least publicly acknowledged - and the Emirati forces have seen combat in the volatile south; they also provide support for counterinsurgency activities such as health and education. Mr. Obama, I hope you get this.

Real Investors Know

2009-03-24T19:06:00.003+04:00

Key word: real not speculators, not pseudo-investors who think they are investors. From Investor's Business Daily: Dubai, the dazzling urban showcase of the United Arab Emirates, is proof of Newton's law that whatever goes up must come down. The city, with its dizzying high-rises, is reeling from crumpled oil prices and a global financial meltdown. Thousands have lost their jobs in the Persian Gulf boomtown, and property values are plunging. ... Yet Dubai remains a go-to shipping, trading and financial hub for the oil-rich Persian Gulf. Its deepwater port is the best in the region. Multinationals desiring long-term growth in the region can't afford to leave, and many are settling down for the long haul. Real investors should read the whole thing.

Jamaica, UAE

2009-03-24T19:00:00.001+04:00

The diversity of the United Arab Emirates continues to amaze me.

Due Diligence, Best Behavior and the Stuff of Legends

2009-03-21T12:13:00.002+04:00

Here is a memo to journalists in the UAE and the newspapers that hire them: the public reads people who know the UAE and/or are willing to take a stand. Here are a few examples: 1)Abdulkhaleq Abdullah, who has quickly established himself as the leading intellectual on UAE policy in the English language. Mr. Abdullah is the first person to come out and call-out Mr. Davidson’s doom-and-gloom prognosis of Dubai. I’ve commented on Mr. Davidson in past posts (here, here and here). I haven’t read his new book, but I had the feeling, judging from the cover, that his thesis was going to veer negative. What better than to get a local scholar to refute his arguments? 2)DANA’S BACK! Regular readers will remember I posted on the travel writer/spa-reviewer turned government critic (SEE HERE). I laud Ms. El Baltaji’s courage; the UAE newspapers need people like her. She’s back with her opinions on the new ruling by the Dubai government concerning “public civility” Make sure to read her arguments against the ruling. 3)I have been reading Sultan Al Qassemi for a long time, but I have never had the opportunity to post any of his work on my blog. Mr. Al Qassemi is a regular columnist for both the National and Khaleej Times and rightly so. Young, talented, and local – it’s no surprise that his column makes the “most read list” week-in and week-out. If I was starting a newspaper in the UAE, and hoping to make a profit, than I would make sure the three above are regular contributors. I would also go out and find as many more of them as I can.

In case You Missed It...

2009-03-17T10:39:00.004+04:00

H.H. President Sheikh Khalifa’s interview has been translated in English in its entirety in yesterday’s Khaleej Times. Stand-out quote: Turning into a global economic hub is not done by a mere decision. It is a culmination of years of efforts and planning. These efforts are not limited to economic building, but they include infrastructure, improving services and social development that includes development of human resources through education and training, as well as improving the legislative and regulatory environment. The position attained by the UAE was neither temporary nor a result of certain circumstances.. It is in fact a fruit of a hard work at the federal and local levels. That hard work translated into a reality through hundreds of institutions which run different productive, services, financial and economic sectors. We are aware of the challenges, but our institutions are not fragile. They are capable of overcoming any difficulties, based on their previous experiences which helped them consolidate their operations, improve their performance and address any gaps. We are confident that our national institutions will be able to confront any challenges, thanks to their track record that earned them respect and credibility in the different markets, and thanks to the government support. These institutions will not miss any opportunity that may come their way when this crisis is over. The italics are my own, but it is a message I try to communicate as much as I can (regular readers will attest). The UAE was not founded in 2003, it was founded in 1971. In a way, H.H. Sheikh Khalifa is probably the most reliable witness to this fact. Having been born in 1948 he was about my age (23) when the UAE was formed and has seen it prosper since then. The years 2003-2008 were nothing suprising to him. I’m willing to bet that the years 1971-1981 saw a greater “boom” than anything in the last 5 years. That is why His Highness continually alludes to the fact that recent events are “nothing new” throughout the interview.

"She is the forerunner of the women's empowerment in the UAE;

2009-03-12T11:10:00.004+04:00

...influencing positive change in the entire Muslim and Arab world." The Huffington Post on Sheikha Lubna Al Qasimi. UPDATE: Read this interview of Dubia Media Deputy CEO and the youngest member of the UAE Parliment Najla Al-Awadhi too.

Silly News

2009-03-09T22:09:00.004+04:00

I’ve been watching “Inside the National” whenever I get the chance. For those who don’t know, Abu Dhabi TV and The National newspaper have teamed up to offer you the reader/viewer a sneak peak into tomorrow’s news. What the National has done is shoot itself in the foot - actually its shot both its feet. First, they have admitted to us that the paper we read every morning, the one made of dead trees, is already dated (hence the need for a show the night before telling us what will be on tomorrow). The National prides itself on the intelligence of the readers, haven’t they realized that intelligent people get there news on the internet and on the blogs? Why doesn’t the National have an online blog? And why doesn’t every employee from the Editor-in-Chief down to the tea boy regularly contribute to the blog? Second, we have conformation that every employee in the National is an expat who hasn’t been in the UAE for more than 3 years. The population born and raised in the Emirates, the ones who know the country inside-out, is largely ignored. Rather, the National has become an orgy-fest of elitist groupthink reporters from the (failing) newspapers of the West. How many “journalists” at the National have experience working in a UAE-based company, or in anything that requires making money? How many have worked in the UAE bureaucracy? – Let alone in construction, plumbing, or anything else that requires the use of one’s hands? How many of them are willing to give up their lucrative salaries to take a stand against the corporate executives, or Arab governments, who have been responsible for wiping out the entire Gulf financial system and making the Middle East the biggest economic loser in the world? No, the National Newspaper is part of the Abu Dhabi bureaucracy, dressed up in the guise of a “professional, independent” newspaper. Like all AD bureaucracy, they are doomed to inertia. I don’t mean to pick-on the National, because Gulf News is equally disingenuous. The folks at Gulf News lecture us on the need to make the world a greener place, to live without A/C or water in the heart of the brutal Arabian desert, to boycott the Atlantis, etc… but of course to buy their tree killing paper whose quality is worse than toilet paper (both the actual paper-pulp and its written content) and to participate in their gas-guzzling desert-desecrating “Fun Drives.” The only advantage Gulf News has is 30 years of experience in the UAE, something the National lacks. Of course there is no freedom of speech in this country and that is a factor, but with the quality of journalism in the major papers, there never will be. Here is the first episode of “Inside the National:”

Party On/Party Off/Party Back On

2009-03-07T13:26:00.003+04:00

Uber celeb-journalist Riz Khan had an interesting panel discussion about Dubai, the economic situation, and the way forward for Al Jazeera English. The panel included Tarik Yousef a former World Bank Economist and Dean of the Dubai School of Government, Nasser bin Ghaith an international economic consultant and a UAE national, and author/scholar Christopher Davidson of "Dubai: The Vulnerability of Success" fame (SEE HERE AND HERE for more on Mr. Davidson). I think Mr. bin Ghaith's observation of "pre and post 2003 Dubai" was very important to understand. He was probably the only person on the panel who was in Dubai before 2003 and perhaps that is why the issue wasn't followed up too much. What people don't ask is what caused the "2003-2008 property boom?" The answer, in my opinion, was a superior infrastructure that had been in place as early as 1993, even 1991. That was why so many people came, why so many of them stayed, and why so many of the them were willing to pay over the top home prices to do so. With the speculators banished, sustainable and prudent growth can continue full steam ahead.

“The Bailout”

2009-02-26T14:38:00.000+04:00

So the UAE follows the lead of all other civilized nations who are going through a rough patch economically. The question is: what are they going to do with the money? Check out the Emirates Economist for more.

IDEX!!

2009-02-22T22:59:00.003+04:00

My favourite exhibition! And what was Gulf News' headline? "UAE Reaffirms Peace Pledge" Whatever. The headline is a complete fallacy. H.H. the President's pledge for peace was just one part of a longer statement: "We have affirmed several times that we are a peace-loving nation which also fosters understanding and accord and this was our policy since the creation of our young nation and will remain so," President His Highness Shaikh Khalifa Bin Zayed Al Nahyan said in a statement on Saturday. "However, we believe that peace always needs the force that protects it and the powerful - who are capable of response and deterrence - are the real defenders of peace." If one needs any further confirmation of the perilous times we are living under (and the UAE leadership's acknowledgement of it) see this refutation of defense spending cuts - financial crisis or not. And what an important time to host IDEX, with the Iranians at the pilot stage of their nuclear program according to this report.

Doom, Gloom, and Fruit Trees

2009-02-20T11:57:00.003+04:00

Al Khaleej Newspaper echoes the same point I made HERE and HERE: This cacophonous rhetoric about division has become a daily practice of the Western media but it is also echoed in the Arab and Gulf media, whether intentionally or unintentionally. It is derived either from ignorance, which would be damaging to the credibility of the reporters concerned, or it suggests the existence of a malicious campaign whose masterminds are trying to make use of the current situation to undermine the economic progress of and the achievements made by the UAE," the paper added. In both cases, the propagandists and promoters of such reports should understand that the UAE is a united federal state and benefits as a whole by the achievements made by each emirate... the resounding successes of some emirates have benefited the others. The “Western Media” referred to exist everywhere, here are some examples: Exhibit A) German TV. See how the report films Dubai on a rainy day, the one day out of 365 that Dubai rains! (Blog Sheikh thanks illuminarcy.blogspot.com) Exhibit B) Comes from the Irish Times. Exhibit C) Exhibit D) The Evening Standard (on thisismoney.co.uk). The headline ends with a question mark, which is an optimistic sign (the only optimistic sign in the whole article). Full disclosure: Al Khaleej has historically taken a pro-government stand; I’ll let the reader decide who they believe.

Spiritual Oasis: Home to the Biggest Church in the Middle East.

2009-02-18T17:51:00.000+04:00

The Christian Broadcast Network has an interesting story about King's Revival International Church in Dubai. Who would have known? The UAE has the largest Evangelical church in the region, despite countries like Egypt, Syria, Jordan, Iraq, Lebanon, and the Holy Land itself all being close by. It just shows the level to which Christianity in the region has been downgraded. Be sure to see the video in the link too.

Whale Shark Jihad

2009-02-17T18:02:00.003+04:00

The management of the Atlantis Hotel need to gather all their PR people in a room, sit them down, and tell them you're all fired! Gulf News has was waged a Jihad on the Atlantis with their "Special Report." But when the news hits the (Euro-based) International Herald Tribune, it's quite a big deal. If anybody from Dubai World is reading this, then I want them to know that I am willing to offer my PR services to them (for small enumeration). You can reach me at my email: blogsheikh@gmail.com.

DSF Comes to a Close...Some Thoughts

2009-02-16T23:19:00.002+04:00

This year’s DSF teaches us that retailers have to do a better job of enticing customers...and not mope. First though, the figures in the article are vague again (see below too): Shopkeepers informally estimated that their sales are down between 20 and 50 percent, a drop that could not be independently verified. Still, the old techniques of car/gold/apartment raffles are getting old. Retailers need to devise new and cheaper ways to procure inventories, market them, and ultimately sell them. Retailers cannot expect customers with bulging wallets to purchase without thinking twice (which may have been the case in the past), they need selling techniques that reflect the state of the economy in normal times, not in exceptional boom times (such as the past 5 years). Unfortunately new retailers in the UAE market have only experienced the UAE when the economy was booming and oil was near $150 a barrel. It seems few of them understood that it was only a temporary situation. Equally unfortunate is idea that the UAE is some kind of luxury oasis, a sort of Arab Riviera. This creates false perceptions of a super-rich population only. If you were a middle class - say Saudi – family who has hardly been affected by the financial crisis: You have 3 kids and you’ve saved a little bit of money for a family trip. How many visa fees for entering the country will you need to pay? What hotel could you afford in Dubai (one that is appropriate for a family)? What items could you purchase at unbeatable deals that you couldn’t purchase at the local mall in Jeddah? Not those government entities are totally absolved of all blame either, but this is more the retailer’s problem. What can the government do to help declining sales? Perhaps 21st century retailers can take some advice from Allana Swan of Skydome Properties or Casey Andrews of One World Travel and Tourism or the folks at Dubizzle and Grapeshisha who are using blogs to sell products/services. Yes, blogs help business! DSF blog anyone?

"Strengh Through Unity."

2009-02-14T11:05:00.004+04:00

When news articles quote a “senior regional banker who asked not to be named,” one has to get suspicious: “Abu Dhabi feels that Dubai has been reckless, and probably wants to teach it a lesson,” a senior regional banker, who asked not to be named, said on Thursday. “There are a lot of ruler lieutenants involved and they are arguing, but some sort of settlement will have to be reached eventually.” What lesson? Stop expanding the economy! Stop growth! Starve! Quite the opposite, the Abu Dhabi government in the past 5 years has in fact copied the Dubai model. It’s hard for me to admit, being a proud native of Abu Dhabi since birth, but it’s true. I don’t recall a single person/official in Abu Dhabi in the past 5 years who told Dubai that there economic growth model was “reckless” and that it must be stopped or that they will be “taught a lesson.” Abu Dhabi helped Dubai with oil revenue. Dubai helped Abu Dhabi with exposure it never dreamed of in the 1990’s. Sheikh Zayed and Sheikh Rashid, the late rulers of Abu Dhabi and Dubai respectively, had it right when they created the UAE. There words still ring true and must be headed in these times: “Strength Through Unity.”

Global Recession or Not, Dubai Continues to Be A Favourite Destination with Expatriates

2009-02-13T09:51:00.002+04:00

Not the headline everyone expects, good for Khaleej Times. Yes, the number of people leaving the UAE is up, but the people comming in remains steady. The trick is to see the glass as half full and not half empty. Allana Swan of Skydome Properties feels the same way, seeing better chances for investors in the UAE.

Sleep while stuck in AD/DXB/SHJ traffic!

2009-02-13T09:40:00.001+04:00

I kid you not.

Dubai is not a Separate Nation!

2009-02-09T22:13:00.002+04:00

It is part of a federation of 7 Emirates that makes up one country. Western MSM (main stream media) is trying to sell ad space. There’s no there, there. See this previous post linking to UAE University Political Science Professor Abdulkhaleq Abdullah’s article for FT Online. Prof. Abdullah gives many recommendations in the article, but his most important piece of advice: "Above all, Dubai needs to consolidate its federal affiliations and closely co-ordinate its next moves with Abu Dhabi, its bigger and wealthier sister."

"We believe a good share of the Emirates' territory is our land"

2009-02-07T19:16:00.004+04:00

The Iranians are at it again. Three things must be done: First, the UAE must respond to this kind of provocation and not allow it to go unnoticed. This has already happened, with Dr Anwar Mohammad Gargash, Minister of State for Foreign Affairs' interview with Gulf News: Q: Is Iran's allegation that its citizens are being mistreated at UAE airports and that Shiite clerics are harassed in the UAE part of this escalation? A: This is a completely different matter. Let's cite some figures here. What they mean by "airports" is Dubai Airport, which receives more than 40 million passengers annually, while the number of Iranians travelling to Dubai is about 500,000. In this case, we in the UAE carry out searches for all banned substances, particularly narcotics, at all entry points such as Dubai Airport. In 2008, Iranians accounted for 27 per cent of those arrested in a total of 238 cases of drug smuggling. In any case, we do not target a particular group of people in the searches, but we target people from certain areas for security reasons. But to have 238 cases out of 500,000 Iranian travellers who entered the UAE, I think we need to use a calculator to know the percentage. But assuming that there has been a mistake, which is possible because to err is human, it would have been better to deal with such issue through the diplomatic channels. It is of no use, neither to the Iranian side nor to ours, to use the general public to present such a case. Facts are stubborn things. Second, the Arab world needs not just a united stand against Iran, they need united action. The five GCC states, Jordan, Egypt, and the West Bank of Palestine will all rally. Other countries can be co-opted with the promise of Gulf cash and Gulf investment. That leaves Iraq, which is in an ideological tug-of-war between its Arab neighbors and Iran. Previous bickering between Arab states and Iraq needs to be put to a side and Iraq, a newly democratic Iraq, needs to be provided incentives. Third, the world needs to act. Mr. Obama’s recent overtures to Iran are not welcome. If President Obama thinks he can negotiate with Iran all he needs to do is ask any UAE government official in the past 40 years if that is possible. The Europeans need to be reminded that a nuke in the hands of the messianic Mullahs in Iran means nukes 3 hours from Berlin. With most Arab states, all European states, and America acting in unison against this dangerous regime, it can be brought down.

The Financial Crisis in America Must Be Bad…

2009-02-02T22:10:00.001+04:00

Because it’s usually very hard to persuade Americans to leave America. But that might change with the financial situation, word is spreading. Also see a previous post of mine about the lack of Americans in the UAE. A more recent post about how Emirates Airline’s marketing campaign is growing awareness of the UAE in the USA shouldn’t be missed either.

The Ultimate Business Meeting

2009-02-01T15:05:00.003+04:00

Smart managers, smart entrepreneurs, and smart business people in the UAE will do this sort of thing. Kudos to the Ajman Kempinski Hotel! Despite glamorous multi-billion Dirham hotels popping up everyday in not too distant Dubai, the Kempinski in Ajman continues to innovate with new and ingenious ideas. The Kempinski is not a new hotel, having been in the UAE for more than 10 years now. However, it continues to be a factor; other hotels in the UAE should take a cue.

Emirates Airline’s Penetration of the USA Continues...

2009-02-01T15:01:00.001+04:00

Grabbing the attention of USA Today: A billboard on an Oakland city bus touts complimentary chauffer-driven limousine service for first- and business-class passengers flying to Dubai and beyond on Emirates Airlines. Although it might seem an unlikely place to plug an airline based 8,000 miles away, this is part of a much larger advertising campaign for a new nonstop flight linking this rapidly growing Middle East city with San Francisco, Emirates' fifth gateway in North America. Before the ads, few locals had likely heard of Emirates or Dubai. Then a radio blitz, newspaper ads and several well-publicized media events heralded the arrival of this new airline. In San Francisco's financial district, the walls of an entire subway station were plastered with billboards and columns dressed up as palm trees to advertise exotic Emirates destinations. "Everybody in the San Francisco Bay Area knows who Emirates is today", says Terry Brodt of Carlson Wagonlit Travel.

President Bush’s Last Act of Foreign Policy

2009-01-17T12:07:00.005+04:00

May be the best foriegn policy decision he has made. That the Bush Administration guaranteed the deal was sealed before Mr. Obama takes over speaks volumes to its critical significance. I don’t think it was a coincidence that UAE-USA Nuclear Deal was Mr. Bush’s last. This is an agreement of epic historical proportions that sets the stage for a new Middle East -- with the UAE at the forefront. The UAE nuclear program, unlike Iranian or North Korean roguery, will be fully transparent. The UAE government has developed a website detailing all the information about the program and its uses: http://www.usuae123.com/ Saddam got toppled because of it; the Mullahs in Iran deserve to be toppled for trying to acquire it. However, the agreement proves that if a Middle Eastern country is committed to peace and prosperity and delivers on these commitments then anything can be achieved -- with Western and global blessing. (Pics Courtesy of WAM)

Arab Cinema's A-List

2009-01-16T12:51:00.002+04:00

No surprise that UAE-based individuals took 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place. Indeed: A dozen movers and shakers based in the United Arab Emirates, more than from any other territory, made the list.

More Young Arab Woman

2009-01-16T12:22:00.002+04:00

This time from Friday Magazine. Nadia Zaal is twenty-something, but she has an interesting story. These type of ladies seem to turn up more and more often everyday in the UAE. See this post too. I'm posting this to highlight the wide opportunities for woman in the UAE.

Not to be Outdone, the American Media Wake Up to Dubai Too...

2009-01-16T11:52:00.004+04:00

Last post was the BBC Breakfast Show from the UK, today it's the CBS Early Show's turn: and CBS primetime news too... See the links to the written story and pics HERE and HERE.

The British Media’s Fetish with Dubai Continues…

2009-01-13T21:25:00.004+04:00

Though not all of it is positive. Sathnam Sanghera, of the Times Online, tells us why he’d rather die than visit Dubai: It seems to me that the purpose of the city's many shopping malls, resorts and skyscrapers is to distract visitors from the fact that there is actually little to do or see there. The desert, most travel writers concede, is featureless, the Gulf waters simply do not compare with the Mediterranean or the Red Sea, and the city lacks the historical intrigue of such destinations as Egypt, Italy and Greece. Essentially it is Las Vegas without the sex and the gambling, which is Las Vegas without a point. Although Mr. Sanghera is referring to British tourists and immigrants to Dubai, the above quote was a cheap shot at the UAE’s history and culture. According to his bio, Mr. Sanghera is a Cambridge University graduate who went straight to work as a weekly columnist for the Financial Times. Obviously he is too “cultured” for Dubai: as if attending Cambridge University is a reliable barometer of talent and sobriety. Meanwhile the BBC Breakfast Show had an opposite take to the British invasion of Dubai. After talking about the Atlantis Hotel, they ask Brits directly why they have moved to Dubai:

Well Done Adidas Marketing!

2009-01-11T22:18:00.004+04:00

Adidas' marketing folks get smart, although I hear these have been around for almost a year now. These should sell like hot-cakes at the Dubai Shopping Festival which kicks-off soon. (Blog Sheikh thanks Cize @ Dubai Sneakers and Co)

A Review of Christopher Davidson’s “Dubai: the Vulnerability of Success.”

2009-01-10T16:47:00.002+04:00

By Riley McDermid; the book is still not available in the UAE, but it can be ordered and shipped to the UAE from Amazon.com. For the audio interview with the author, Christopher Davidson, see one of my previous posts HERE.

On the Financial Hub of the Arab World

2009-01-10T15:38:00.002+04:00

Abdulkhaleq Abdullah, professor of political science at the Emirates University writing for the Financial Times Online, at his best: The people of the emirate have gone through many daunting challenges over the past 50years since the city’s emergence as a modern entrepôt. They vividly remember the tough times of the 1950s and 1980s. The region has seen three costly wars in the past three decades. Yet Dubai, time and again, has re-emerged stronger and bigger. Most likely it will do the same this time round too. Not only are the fundamentals sound but the city has all the right attributes to look beyond a time of crisis. Dubai has a brand name and it has state-of-the-art infrastructure that will act as a platform for a renewed take-off. The city is packed with creative minds from all over the Arab world and nearby countries. Dubai is also full of attractive icons and architectural wonders. But it is the emirate’s unquestionable adherence to free-market principles and its strong commitment to social liberties that have brought it to global prominence. Hence, it is hard to understand why some underestimate Dubai and readily predict its demise. These are tough times but Dubai and the UAE are still among the safest places in the world to anchor. People are better-off here than in any other global capital. Very soon it is going to be business as usual. The priority now is to inject a dose of confidence into Dubai Inc. First… You must read the whole thing…

The Sheikh’s Translator

2009-01-09T12:51:00.000+04:00

Gulf News had a very interesting interview with Zaki Nusseibah, the personal translator for Sheikh Zayed (and now Sheikh Khalifa), a man well-placed to offer insights into the history of the last 40 years. Read the whole thing.

Young Arab Woman

2009-01-09T12:09:00.002+04:00

My favourite subject! The NY Times recently had a story about Abu Dhabi-based Etihad Airways and Dubai-based Emirates Airlines' stewardesses: In the midst of an Islamic revival across the Arab world that is largely being led by young people, gulf states like Abu Dhabi — which offer freedoms and opportunities nearly unimaginable elsewhere in the Middle East — have become an unlikely place of refuge for some young Arab women. And many say that the experience of living independently and working hard for high salaries has forever changed their ambitions and their beliefs about themselves, though it can also lead to a painful sense of alienation from their home countries and their families. … Rania Abou Youssef, 26, a flight attendant for the Dubai-based airline, Emirates, said that when she went home to Alexandria, Egypt, her female cousins treated her like a heroine. “I’ve been doing this for four years,” she said, “and still they’re always asking, ‘Where did you go and what was it like and where are the photographs?’ ” Many of the young Arab women working in the Persian Gulf take delight in their status as pioneers, role models for their friends and younger female relatives. Of course the gender-extremists were quick to pounce; I’m not going to get into a feminist debate. I just thought the above quotes, about the promise of the Gulf for woman, were interesting.

Year of the Nuke

2009-01-04T11:28:00.002+04:00

2009 may become the year of the nuke. This is especially true of the Middle East, were there is a renaissance of sorts. Nuclear energy’s potential is great: it provides massive energy supply and, at the same time, is relatively clean compared to fossil fuels (assuaging climate change activists). Every single Arab country seems to be in hunt. But for all the countries in the Middle East, the country that seems the most advanced in their pursuit of nuclear power is the UAE. Not only does the UAE have the resources to see the project through, but they have the crucial support of the Bush Administration. Unfortunately, Bush’s time is almost up, and Obama will take over in about 2 weeks. As the article explains: The move could place President-elect Barack Obama in a tight spot with a Middle East ally by forcing him to decide whether to push Congress to ratify the agreement. He hasn't taken an official position on the deal. An Obama spokesman declined to comment. The Bush administration has championed the nuclear agreement with the U.A.E. as a model for promoting peaceful nuclear energy while guarding against weapons proliferation. The Bush administration is right on this one, and Obama, if he has any sense at all, will continue the policy for the good of America, the region, and the world.

Sheikh Rashid RIP

2009-01-03T11:10:00.004+04:00

I'll admit that, like everybody else, I know very little about the UAE's smallest Emirate Umm al Quwain. Nonetheless, I know a few people who knew of Sheikh Rashid bin Ahmad Al Mualla, Ruler of the Emirate of Umm Al Quwain. The word I kept hearing was kind and gentle, and indeed that's what everyone else seems to think too. Update: Gulf News has an even better story, with nice pics too.

2009 Prospects

2009-01-02T14:33:00.004+04:00

There are many interesting articles out there in internet-land about the prospects of the UAE in the New Year. The credit crisis that has engulfed the developed world (UAE included) has had its effects for sure, but the sky remains the limit. Zachary Karabell of Newsweek tells us why Dubai is just too big (and too important) to fail. (Blog Sheikh thanks grapeshisha.com) Adam Schreck’s article for the AP should be read too. It's a more pessimistic outlook, despite the best efforts of everybody from David Beckham to Shakira. Of course the economy has been affected, but it depends on what you base it on. Yes from 2003 to 2008 there was the idea that everybody could get a high paying job, live in an apartment with a sea-view, drive a Porsche, and wear Armani. That was unrealistic and unsustainable. However, if you want to work in central business and cultural hub of the Middle East, with sunshine 365 days a year, in safety, with top class infrastructure and facilities, and save enough money to perhaps acquire all the things mentioned in the paragraph above, then the UAE dream is alive and kicking. Don’t take my word for it, the UAE continues to be the destination of choice for MBA’s from Lahore to London.

Happy 2009

2009-01-01T13:02:00.001+04:00

A Happy New Year to all. If you are reading this, thank you very much. I really hope you enjoy my blog. I do have to apologize for not posting much in the last month or so, I really needed a little break from blogging to figure out my future and my career. In any case, the month of December is usually a slow news month. Now 2009 is upon us and for me personally it’s a new, fresh start. Hope you come back again and again.

Young Sheikhs

2008-12-16T21:00:00.003+04:00

I recently came across an interesting interview the National had with Sheikh Mohammad bin Hamad Al Sharqi, the Crown Prince of Fujairah. Sheikh Mohammed deals with a wide range of questions affecting his Emirate with great intelligence and charisma. Bearing in mind he is only 22 years old! Anybody interested in all things Fujairah must visit Experiencing the Emirates blog and its sister site Fujairah in Focus.

"High Rollin' "

2008-12-12T10:48:00.003+04:00

US online magazine Slate.com publishes a daily "picture of the day." In fact it is several pictures about one subject. On December 2nd, 2008 the subject matter was the UAE (for UAE National Day I guess). The title of Slate's picture series is "High Rollin' in the United Arab Emirates." While I don't really agree with the title and what the pictures represent (National Day is more than just about luxury lifestyles), they are still really interesting. My favourite of the bunch is below, but follow this link to see all 22. This particular pic (and the two or three other older ones) is nice because it shows the UAE as always being a glamorous place, rather than the perceived notion that the UAE became a "glamorous" in the last 5 years. (Raymond Depardon / Magnum Photos)

"Cutting Zeros" and Zero Sympathy

2008-12-07T23:09:00.002+04:00

So the FNC has new powers to debate UAE foreign policy. The first and most important order of business for the newly empowered parliament is the situation in Iran. What better time for the world community and the UAE to put pressure on the Mullahs in Iran than now? According to the National, the Iranian economy is reeling from the drop in oil prices, “cutting zeros” as it were. True, the UAE’s economy is still highly dependant on oil as well, but we can compare the UAE president’s confidence with that of the president of Iran and ask any rational observer who they believe more: Sheikh Khalifa’s statement and Ahmadinejad’s Statement While, as Sheikh Khalifa correctly stated, the UAE used this past year’s record oil profits to “develop human resources which are our most valuable resource, and also to diversify our national income though internal and external investments;" The Iranian’s, in contrast, have used those same (nay more) windfall oil profits to achieve their violent and destabilizing nuclear program. We know Ahmadinejad is lying and is in desperate trouble. But rather than facing the harsh reality (that a proud country like Iran needs is development and not WMD’s), Mr. Ahmadinejad’s heinous government has the audacity to ask the more developed countries in the Gulf to help his broke government in their pursuit of deadly, massively deadly, hardware. This not the time to help the Mullahs, but time to put pressure on them; will the newly “empowered” FNC take it up at all and if not can we vote in representatives who will?

Perfect Timming

2008-12-06T13:37:00.006+04:00

Just my luck, the mood sours and the boom looses steam just when I graduate from university and enter the job market!! There was a time, not long ago, when expats came to the UAE to work and save money. Nowadays most come to speculate and make quick and easy money. I’m sorry, but Western expats are overpaid, south and East Asians are underpaid, and there are too few Arab managers one can look to as role models. We should all remember that economics and business runs in cycles. Yes, there has been a slowdown, but most expert observers were predicting a cooling of the economy for a while. Why there was no back-up plan for the inevitable is beyond me, but what we need now is leadership and solutions. The buzz word is consolidation, working and improving what we’ve already got for an even better future. One solution is lower interest rates, offering affordable credit to those people and businesses who qulify. If you have a steady income, a good credit history, and even better if you are backed up by solid assets, we can get the economy back on track. Why else would the federal and local governments of the UAE pump so much money into banks and finance companies? A resounding yes vote from a poll in the National confirms the view: 04.12.08 Should the UAE follow other central banks and slash interest rates? Yes, we need cheaper credit 82.61% No, people will have less incentive to make cash deposits 17.39% The sentiment is shared by Mishaal Al Gergawi who offers 6 solutions (italics mine): Sixth, and most important, interest rates need to be cut to lower the effective cost of borrowing and to encourage affordable borrowing. This is most pressing when comparing the five-year US swap rate, which is at 2.5 per cent, and that of the UAE, which is at 3.4 per cent: and the six-month EIBOR of 4.39 per cent needs to be cut in line with the six-month LIBOR, which is at 2.55 per cent. The reason for this is that if you were to apply for a mortgage in the US and in the UAE and were in good financial standing, you would be charged a lot more here than there. With regard to the argument against this and in favour of high interest rates to attract deposits into the system: we have already provided complete guarantees for all deposits nationwide and so do not need further concessions. Nowhere is safer than the UAE considering the far-reaching repercussions of this cisis. The rates need to be cut, and they need to be cut fast.

Dubai: The Vulnerability of Success

2008-12-03T20:00:00.007+04:00

I recently came across a radio interview by Bloomberg’s Tom Keene of Christopher Davidson (Blog Sheikh Thanks the Emirates Economist). Mr. Davidson has just released a book titled “Dubai: The Vulnerability of Success.” The book has yet to be released in the UAE, but it is available on Amazon. Judging by the interview, it seems like a much needed scholarly work on the Emirates, and in particular contemporary UAE history. The title itself offers no clue as to Mr. Davidson views (vulnerability or success?). I have yet to read the book so I cannot comment fully. But you should listen to the full interview which lasts 26 minutes but is well worth the time.

37 Strong

2008-12-02T09:25:00.003+04:00

Happy National Day to all. The 37 year UAE experiment continues... The National has a good round up of quotes from the Sheikhs of the 7 Emirates. Despite economic jitters in the last 2 month, I am optimistic. Real Estate may be affected, but as we enter the December-April period expect the retail, tourism, and service industries to continually preform. The roads are full, the malls are full, hotels are at (or at least close to) its normal level. December is the peak of the tourist calender for the UAE: the weather really becomes pleasant, National Day/Eid/Christmas/New Years are clustered together for a more festive period for all. This boom period continues really, all the way to April with the Dubai Shopping Festival and its conclusion. If my optimism spreads, and if the UAE rulers and people play it right, then the UAE story will continue for another 37, even 370, years.

Where Have All The Americans Gone?

2008-11-22T16:49:00.003+04:00

The Boston Globe had an interesting story about Dubai, its growth, and the lack of Americans: The six-lane highway that runs from the airport toward the world's fastest-growing city skyline is dotted with neon signs in Arabic script. If you could read them, they would sound familiar: Applebee's, Chili's, Pizza Hut. American fast food has found a home in Dubai, a once-impoverished desert kingdom now the frenetic, oil-rich financial capital of the Arab world. But Americans themselves are scarce. In this burgeoning oasis of modernity, US citizens number 19,000 of the estimated 1.2 million foreigners living here. The biggest reason is probably distance. The whole Ports Deal fiasco didn't help either. But with Emirates Airlines introducing their new flight from Dubai to LA non-stop, Dubai firms constantly looking for US opportunities, and Sheikha Lubna's statement recently (see below), there is no reason why the number cannot grow... (Blog Sheikh thanks Grapeshisha for the video)

Power of the Blog

2008-11-21T12:22:00.002+04:00

I mentioned a few posts down about the success of Grapeshisha.com and their blog, an average website at best but with a blog that gives visitors (and customers) updates, transparency and trust everyday. With their blog, grapeshisha.com have turned their "information on the UAE" site into something unique than all the others. It's good to see our leaders at the top, specifically H.H. Sheikh Nahyan bin Mubarak Al Nahyan, being aware of the power of the Internet and blogs. The article goes on to quote Nick Guthrie, editor of Dateline London, BBC: Referring to the growing importance of blogs, Guthrie said 12 million adults in the US regularly contributed to blogs that found 57 million readers. "About 39 per cent of online users are reading blogs," which he described as an online revolution none could afford to miss. It's no surprise that the conference was held Higher Colleges of Technology (HCT) - since it is younger people who know and use the Internet more. Here's an example of blog journalism at its best: Megan Hirons of the Gulf News decided to live blog the frustrations of obtaining a (mandatory) National ID card in the numerous centers across the UAE. It was a stroke of genius by Ms. Hirons, blogging the process hourly from 9 am to 2 pm . Just look at the number of (positive) comments the piece received. Absolutely amazing. For a list of some of the best UAE themed blogs check out: The Emirates Economist Experiencing the Emirates Rosh The UAEian An Emirati's Thoughts Desperate Princess In Dubai Dubai Guy One Big Construction Site UAE Community Blog Grapeshisha and many others...

Abu Garfield

2008-11-20T19:55:00.012+04:00

Almost a year ago I had a post on Garfield and his ode to Abu Dhabi. Recently, both Grapeshisha.com and The National's new magazine "M" carried features on Garfield and his famous references to Abu Dhabi. Enjoy Both!

The FNC's New Session.

2008-11-19T08:04:00.006+04:00

The FNC kicked off its new session yesterday. The legislative branch of the UAE government has been getting a lot of stick from UAE nationals for being unrepresentative, and hence Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid's proclamation.

Indeed, procedural reform is the top issue for the FNC (i.e. reforming the body itself to be more democratic). With the financial mess the world is in, rising inflation, loss of national identity, growing white-collar crime, security threats from terrorists and their state sponsors, and a rising population of locals and expats to consider. Dealing with these issues will require more than executive diktat and bureaucratic "solutions." What is needed is a strong legislature, voted by the people, to question and consider the proposed policies of government. Reforming the FNC, in the ways the article discusses and especially providing for universal suffrage for all UAE nationals is the first step as the UAE moves forward into the 2nd decade of the 21st century and approaches its half-century anniversary.

Abdullah Al Shaiba also has a good summary of what UAE nationals are expecting.

Congrats to the UAE U-19 and U-17 Football Teams

2008-11-18T18:15:00.002+04:00

Good omens for the future of UAE football.

GrapeShisha!

2008-11-17T21:05:00.003+04:00

Nothing better than a grape-flavoured shisha on a pleasant UAE November night. (The weather these days is so pleasant, for the past 5 Novembers I was stuck in Montreal, Canada where -30 Celsius and snowstorms were the norm!) Garpeshisha.com is aptly-titled name of an amazing website that offers consultancy services for new comers to the UAE. With 5000+ subscribers, its a real success story. The best thing going for Grapeshisha.com is its blog. Every UAE-based website, in whatever business should have a blog: real estate companies, consultancies, banks, government institutions, newspapers, everyone. Bravo Grapeshisha! Enjoy their blog.

"M"

2008-11-17T20:26:00.004+04:00

The National has finally released its Saturday edition complete with its new magazine "M."

While Keira Knightley, of all people, made the front cover, the most interesting story comes courtesy of John Gravois and his talented photographer Lauren Lancaster. The article is aptly titled: "The Road That Unites the Emirates." It starts:

"The longest road in the UAE appears on maps as a solid blue line stretching from the Saudi border in the west to the border with Oman in the far north-east. It runs parallel to the Trucial Coast for some 600km, traverses six of the seven emirates along the way, and is labelled simply 'E11'."

It's worth the read, and the photos are amazing too. Unforuntaly, only one is available from the National's site and it has a low resolution (you'll see it in the link). To appreciate the pics, you need to see it full sized in the magazine. You should trust me and get the mag and see the wonderful, highly contrasting photos.

The Impact Beyond Our Borders

2008-11-14T18:39:00.002+04:00

The impact of an economic slowdown has dire repercussions for the UAE and the Gulf of course, but for Arab countries outside the Gulf, the impact is even worse From the New York Times: For many of the financially strapped nations of the Middle East, the oil-rich countries of the Persian Gulf have served for years as an economic lifeline, providing jobs for their citizens, who in turn sent millions of dollars back home; tourists, who filled their hotels when Westerners were reluctant to visit; direct investment; and the kind of checkbook diplomacy that has helped stabilize an often volatile region. Suddenly, that lifeline appears frayed, dangerously so for countries like Egypt and Jordan, as the energy-rich nations find themselves pulled into the global financial crisis and undermined by dropping oil prices. Across the Persian Gulf, stock markets are down, causing panic among investors. Even in the boomtown of Dubai, United Arab Emirates, the once-mighty real estate market has cooled as access to credit has tightened. Read the whole thing.

Pessimism

2008-11-10T21:02:00.004+04:00

Both The National and Gulf News are selling us the idea that the UAE and its economy are headed for the toilet seat. I couldn't disagree more. Yes, world markets are plummeting and yes that includes UAE stocks. What is needed now is confidence, not pessimism. Both The National and Gulf News quote Mohammed Ali Al Abbar, Chairman of Emaar. From The National: He (Al Abbar) pointed out that Dubai was not driven by the real estate sector, and that re-exports and trading; tourism and retail; transportation and logistics; manufacturing; the free zones and the business hubs for IT, media, financial services, education and health care were the real drivers behind Dubai’s economic boom. “The real estate sector’s growth was Dubai’s answer to the demand created by these traditional sectors. The real estate story of Dubai is now over a decade old and continuing demand will sustain its growth over the long term.” From Gulf News: "I would say GE share prices are down, Johnson and Johnson prices are down, so we are a part of the global scene. So whatever needs to be done have to be conducted, proper business have to be done." That's exactly how I feel. The Dubai Boom did not start with property. Rather, it was all the other sectors mentioned above in the first quote that made, and continues to make, Dubai an attractive place to buy a home. Many new comers to the UAE fail to grasp this important point. No matter, that's what I'm here for. The second quote, is also important. "We are part of the global scene." The global scene may be bleak now, but being a part of it means the UAE can play a bigger role fixing it for a brighter and better future.

Obama It Is...

2008-11-05T21:13:00.002+04:00

Experiencing the Emirates Blog has the transcript of Obama's victory speech.

4 Years On...

2008-11-01T23:22:00.002+04:00

The world misses you man. In this season of leader-electing, we remember one of the all time greats.

Past the Financial Crisis

2008-10-31T13:00:00.003+04:00

Yes, there could be positives from this financial mess. Henry Paulson, the US Treasury Secretary: said surging oil revenues offer a historic opportunity for GCC countries to diversify their economies - at a time when oil prices had tumbled to between $60 and $65 per barrel. The revenues, he said enable GCC countries to "shore up their economic fundamentals ... and make much-needed investments in human capital - steps that should help avoid the up-and-down cycles of the past and support significant sector-wide growth." He continued: "Nowhere is this more evident than in the UAE, where a vibrant, diversified economy is reflected through innovative construction and services growth." Such projects, said Paulson, "are evidence of the benefits of adopting outward-oriented policies and I hope they encourage other countries to follow suit." (Italics & highlights my own)

Appeasement 101

2008-10-31T00:54:00.006+04:00

I agree with our rulers 99.9% of the time. This is the 0.01% instance that I don't.

The regime in Iran is not one for dialogue. Remember Chamberlain?

Peace in our time...

PR Dream

2008-10-27T14:44:00.003+04:00

Emirates Business 24/7 has an interesting story about PR and advertising in Dubai. They rank the top 5 'PR Stunts' in the UAE: 1. Roger Federer vs Andre Agassi on Burj Al Arab's helipad 2. Tiger Woods driving a golf ball off the same helipad 3. Sorouh's world's largest advert 4. Sir Richard Branson staking a claim to the UK island on The World 5. Emirates Post and its giant building wrap around Dubai World Trade Centre